All posts by Tim Sevenhuysen

Tim Sevenhuysen is the founder and sole developer of Oracle's Elixir and provides a variety of consulting and contracting services throughout the esports industry. He is the former Director of Esports Analytics for 100 Thieves, served as Head of Data Science for Esports One, led Shadow.gg from 2017 to 2019, and was Statistical Consultant for Fnatic in 2015. Follow Tim on Twitter at @TimSevenhuysen.
Check the Data

Worlds 2015 Fun Predictions [WITH RESULTS]

Before the World Champions group stage began, I posted a poll about various predictions.

Here are the results, now updated with both the prediction results and the actual outcomes.

Note: Where appropriate, I’ve listed only the top 5 most common responses, so they will not add up to 100%.

Q: CHAMPION DIVERSITY: How many different champions will be used during the group stage?

  • Fewer than 30                           12%
  • Between 30 and 39                21%
  • Between 40 and 49                19%
  • Between 50 and 59                19%
  • Between 60 and 69                12%
  • More than 70                             17%

Average Prediction: 50.3

Mag1c’s Prediction: 59

Result: 69 Continue reading Worlds 2015 Fun Predictions [WITH RESULTS] →

Analysis and Opinion

The CLG Autopsy Report: New Peaks, Old Valleys

Graphic by @Nole_Body.

Group A has wrapped up at the 2015 World Championships, and Counter Logic Gaming finds themselves on the outside looking in, ending the tournament with a 2-4 record and failing to reach the Quarterfinals. CLG’s 2015 season is officially over, and it’s time for the dissections to begin. This is the 2015 CLG Autopsy Report. Continue reading The CLG Autopsy Report: New Peaks, Old Valleys →

Analysis and Opinion

Princess or Pumpkin? Cloud9’s Week 1 Fairytale

Are we really seeing this? Are Cloud9 actually 3-0 after the first week of the World Championships? Better believe it. Hai Lam continues to lead to his squad of merry men on an ascent from the depths of the North American LCS to the top of the world.

But is Cloud9 a fairytale or a fluke? Are they the real deal, contenders for a deep run in the knockout stages? Or are they about to be brought back down to earth? That is literally the million-dollar question.

After Cloud9 dramatically qualified for the World Championships by running the North American gauntlet, winning three best-of-fives in three days, I wrote in detail about the team’s “Hai Rise”, describing how Hai’s return inspired massive improvements in their early-game play, followed by refinements to their late-game. The more time the team has had together, the better they are executing on the new style they’ve adopted.

It’s tempting to look at Cloud9’s growth and say the sky’s the limit, and there are definitely plenty of positives in Cloud9’s play. But try to rein in your enthusiasm: there are some big warning signs that could point to Cloud9’s impending crash.

Read at Unikrn →